Ad-hoc research

The BER conducts ad-hoc research on request from both clients and non-clients. The BER also relies on its capacity to contract research out in the event of this being necessary. Should you wish to enquire about the BER's ad hoc research, please contact the BER’s Macro Service Manager Cobus Venter. Some previous BER ad-hoc research reports are listed below:

2015

• Econometric estimates of national cement demand (2015 – 2020) for Lafarge SA Pty (Ltd) and PPC Ltd
• Macroeconometric analysis of demand for Industry and Vodacom services.
• Update: Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2015 – 2044) The Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority (TCTA).
• Western Cape Medium Term Budget Economic Overview.
• Econometric estimates of national lime demand (2015 – 2035) for PPC Lime.
• Econometric estimates of Virgin Active SA sales and terminations (2015 – 2017).
• Medium-term forecasts for inflation, exchange rates and commodity prices for Eskom.
• A case for arts, culture and heritage: an economy-wide impact assessment for the Department of Cultural Affairs and Sport of the Western Cape Government.
• Procter & Gamble’s economic footprint in South Africa.
• The economy-wide contribution of Procter & Gamble to the Kenyan economy: A high level analysis.
• The small, medium and micro enterprise sector of South Africa. An existing data overview and update for SEDA.
• A regularly updated dashboard of relevant indicators that influence the trading environment of Mercedes Benz.

2014

• The current state and short-term prospects for the South African & Western Cape economies. Quarterly report for the Western Cape Department of Economic Development & Tourism.
• High level economic impact assessment of construction expenditure by the Western Cape Department of Transport and Public Works on the Western Cape and National economy.
• Macroeconometric model of the SA economy for a major bank.
• Econometric estimates of Virgin Active SA public sales (2014 – 2015).
• Econometric estimates of tap and mixer sales for Cobra Watertech SA (2014 – 2015).
• Stellenbosch, current realities and economic potential to realise inclusive and sustained economic growth.
• A high level economic analysis of the economic contribution by sport and related activities to the domestic and Western Cape economy for the Interdisciplinary Centre of Excellence for Sport Science and Development (ICESSD)

2013

• Detailed fuel and passenger vehicle forecasts for the South African economy. A confidential report commissioned by the Road Accident Fund (RAF). April 2013
• Econometric Estimates of National Cement Demand (2012 – 2017). Quarterly National Cement Demand: February 2013 Update. A brief confidential report for Lafarge SA Pty (Ltd) and PPC. February 2013
• Long-term forecast (2013 – 2023) for local medium commercial vehicle sales. A Confidential report commissioned by MAN Truck & Bus (SA) (Pty) Ltd. March 2013
• Econometric Estimates of National Cement Demand (2013 – 2018). Quarterly National Cement Demand: Update. A brief confidential report for Lafarge SA Pty (Ltd) and PPC. April, July & October 2013
• Econometric Estimates of Domestic Vehicle Sales 2013 – 2015. A brief confidential report for Cummins Southern Africa. April & November 2013
• Update: Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2013 – 2037). A brief confidential summary commissioned by Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority. May 2013
• GDP growth versus sales volume growth. Confidential presentation prepared for Simba Pepsico. August 2013
• Single Exit Price, South African pharmaceutical industry. Report commissioned by Aspen Pharmacare Holdings Limited, May 2013
• Investigating the consumption expenditure behaviour of a specific segment of the South African population. Report commissioned by Capitec Bank Limited. March 2013
• Investigating income and price elasticities of demand for Red Bull products in the South African market. Confidential report commissioned by Red Bull South Africa. July 2013
• Literature overview of the Western Cape’s Comparative Sectoral Advantages. Economic Synthesis Project for the Department of Economic Development and Tourism.
• A brief overview of the SA Building and Construction sector (2006 – 2012). Commissioned by MSM Incorporated
• SA situation analysis: Outlook for economy and construction sector. Commissioned by Department of Public Works
• High level economic assessment of the Modderfontein development on the Gauteng and National economy
• Stellenbosch by the numbers: An overview and interpretation of all available data. August 2013
• A high level economic impact assessment of the East London Industrial Development Zone. Commissioned by ELIDZ
• High level economic impact assessment of the Paardevlei development on the Western Cape and National economy. Commissioned by Heartland Properties
• High level economic impact assessment of the Longlake development on the Gauteng and National economy. Commissioned by Heartland Properties
• An overview of the Small Medium and Micro Enterprise Sector of South Africa (SMME). Commissioned by Media24. October 2013
• Forecast of food, clothing and domestic textiles sales for Woolworths. (Bi-annually)
• Econometric modelling and forecasting of cigarette sales volumes for BAT. (Quarterly Updates)
• Econometric modelling and forecasting of liquor sales volumes for SAB. (Bi-annually)
• Analysis of the seasonal fluctuation in cigarette sales in South Africa for BAT. February 2013.
• Fuel sales forecast for the National Energy Regulator of South Africa, May 2013.
• Estimation of regression equations and liquor sales forecast for Distell. November 2013.
• Forecast of domestic sales of heavy commercial vehicle and busses for MAN Truck and Bus sales. January & November 2013.
• C. Interactive econometric modelling sessions for Coca-Cola South Africa, 16-17 May 2013.
• Macroeconomic updates for the Sun International board. January, April, June and October 2013, 2pp
• Medium-term forecasts for inflation, exchange rates and commodity prices for Eskom. January, April and July 2013, 5pp

2012

• Medium-term forecasts for inflation, exchange rates and commodity prices for Eskom. January, May, July and December 2012
• Economic outlook for the Province. A report prepared for the Western Cape Provincial Treasury, 21 February 2012
• Interactive econometric modelling sessions for Coca-Cola South Africa, 20-21 February 2012.
• Econometric estimates of national cement demand (2012 – 2016). Quarterly National Cement Demand: February 2012 Update. A brief confidential report commissioned by PPC Ltd & Lafarge SA (Pty) Ltd, March, June, October and December 2012
• SA consumer keeping domestic economy afloat amidst global economic headwinds. The outlook for the South African economy and consumer spending. Compiled for Woolworths Ltd. March 2012
• Macroeconomic board updates for Sun International. March, June and October 2012
• Economic background: annual salary increase 2012/2013. A brief report commissioned by Juta and Company Ltd, May 2012
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2012 – 2036). A brief confidential report commissioned by Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, June 2012
• Drivers of domestic inflation: 2003-2017. A brief report commissioned by Distell Ltd, July 2012
• “Western Cape economic overview and outlook”. Presented to the Western Cape Provincial Treasury, 28 July 2012 (Economic Brief (July 2012)).
• Domestic constraints increase as global outlook remains clouded. A study conducted for Woolworths Ltd. September 2012
• Trends in manufacturing fixed investment and employment since the 2008/09 recession. With specific reference to the food and chemicals sub-sectors. A brief report commissions by Alakriti Consulting cc, September 2012
• Update of economic outlook for Western Cape Provincial medium-term budget, 22 October 2012
• Labour productivity in the civil engineering and metal products manufacturing sector, Report commissioned by Hitachi Power Africa Pty Ltd, October 2012
• Analysis of the seasonal fluctuation in cigarette sales in South Africa for BAT. October 2012.
• Analysis of the seasonal fluctuation in cigarette sales in South Africa for BAT. October 2012.
• Investigating income and prices elasticities of demand in the Peninsula Beverages regions. A confidential report commissioned by Coca-Cola South Africa, December 2012
• Forecast of heavy and extra-heavy commercial vehicle as well as bus sales for MAN Truck & Bus. (Bi-annually)
• Forecast of food, clothing and domestic textiles sales for Woolworths. (Bi-annually)
• Econometric modelling and forecasting of cigarette sales volumes for BAT. (Quarterly Updates)
• Consultation and update of SAB annual and quarterly econometric model and forecasts. (Bi-annualy)

2011

• Medium-term forecasts for inflation, exchange rates and commodity prices for Eskom, January, May, July, and September 2011.
• Forecast of food, clothing and domestic textiles sales for Woolworths, February and September 2011
• Updated proposal for increases in tariffs for high courts and magistrate courts – revised. Report commissioned by the Law Society of South Africa, 24 March 2011.
• Econometric modelling and forecasting of cigarette sales volumes for BAT, May 2011
• Consultation and update of SAB annual econometric model and forecasts, May 2011
• Forecast of MAN Truck & Bus sales. June and October 2011
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2011 – 2040). A brief confidential report commissioned by Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, 1 July 2011.
• “Western Cape economic overview and outlook”. Presented to the Western Cape Provincial Treasury, July and November 2011 (Economic Brief (July 2011), Economic Brief (November 2011)).
• Econometric Estimates of National Cement Demand (2011 – 2016). Quarterly National Cement Demand: July 2011 Update. A brief confidential report commissioned by Pretoria Portland Cement Co Ltd, 27 July and 31 October 2011
• Econometric modelling and 15 scenario forecasts for cigarette sales volumes for BAT, July 2011
• Global woes weigh on the SA economic outlook. A study conducted by the Bureau for Economic Research for Woolworths Ltd, September 2011.
• Macroeconomic consequences of the implementation of Basel III. Report commissioned by the Banking Association of South Africa, September 2011.
• Estimation of regression equations and forecast of Woolworths food and clothing sales in South Africa, September 2011
• Estimation of regression equations and forecast of wine, spirits and FAB sales for Distell/SALBA, October 2011
• Econometric modelling and 2 scenario forecasts for cigarette sales volumes for BAT, October 2011

2010

• Macro-economic impact scenarios – meeting South Africa’s liquid fuel demand, 2009 to 2025. A confidential study prepared for SASOL (Ltd), 14 January 2010.
• Price and income elasticities of the demand for wine aperitifs in South Africa. A confidential report prepared for Distell, July 2010.
• Price and income elasticities of the demand for liquor in South Africa. A confidential report prepared for SAB Ltd., July 2010.
• Econometric estimates of the price and income elasticities of the demand for liquor in South Africa. A confidential report prepared for SALBA, September 2010.
• Econometric estimates of the price and income elasticities of the demand for wine in South Africa. A confidential report prepared for Distell, October 2010.
• Econometric estimates of the price and income elasticities of the demand for spirits in South Africa. A confidential report prepared for Distell, October 2010.
• SA recovery set to continue, but no growth fireworks expected. A study conducted for Woolworths Ltd., September 2010.
• Proposed adjustment to appraiser fees as stipulated in Government Gazette No 22734 dated 12 October 2001. Report commissioned by the Law Society of South Africa, February 2010.
• Primedia Sales Forecast. February 2010
• Forecast for Naamsa vehicle sales. April and October 2010.
• Forecast for MAN Truck & Bus sales. April and October 2010.
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2010-2039). A brief confidential report commissioned by Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, June 2010.
• Explaining the Producer Price Index. Comment written for Adams & Adams attorneys, August 2010.
• Medium-term forecasts for inflation, exchange rates and commodity prices for Eskom. September 2010.

2009

• SA growth outlook continues to deteriorate. A confidential study for Woolworths Ltd. February 2009.
• An econometric forecasting model for beverage sales in Honduras. A confidential report prepared for SABMiller Honduras, June 2009.
• Modelling and forecasting liquor sales in South Africa. A confidential study for SABMiller South Africa, June 2009.
• An econometric forecasting model for the Nigerian economy. A confidential study for NKC Consulting, June 2009
• An analysis of the demand for cigarettes in South Africa and a medium-term forecast of cigarette sales. A confidential study prepared for British American Tobacco, February 2009.
• Macro-economic impact scenarios – meeting South Africa’s liquid fuel demand, 2009 – 2025. A confidential study prepared for SASOL (Ltd), November 2009.
• An econometric model of the demand for cigarettes, including different cigarette brands and price segments. A confidential study prepared for British American Tobacco, December 2009.
• An econometric analysis and forecast of the demand for food, clothing and footwear and domestic textiles in South Africa. A confidential study prepared for Woolworths, January 2009.
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2008 – 2037) revisited. A confidential report commissioned by Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, June 2009.
• The direct impact of ESKOM’s interim application for an electricity tariff increase on CPI inflation. A report prepared for the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) by the BER, June 2009.
• The direct impact of ESKOM’s MYPD2 (2010/11 – 2012/13) application on the CPI. A confidential report prepared for the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) by the BER, November 2009.
• Development of an econometric forecasting model for sales volumes of Coca-Cola South Africa. A confidential report prepared for The Coca-Cola Company South Africa by the BER, November 2009.

2008

• Assessing the macro-economic impact of Eskom’s planned R343 billion capital expenditure on the South African economy. ESKOM, February 2008
• An elasticity analysis and long-term forecast of the demand for petrol and diesel in South Africa. National Electricity Regulator of South Africa (NERSA), July 2008
• An assessment of the macroeconomic projections underlying the Transnet freight flow model – 2007 to 2037. Centre for Supply Chain Management (CFSM), Department of Logistics, University of Stellenbosch, August 2008
• Economic Outlook. Chapter 2 of the Provincial Economic Review & Outlook 2008 report prepared for the Western Cape Provincial Government, November 2008
• The contribution of the South African Breweries Ltd to the South African economy. SAB Limited, March 2008
• An econometric analysis and forecast of the demand for domestic passenger air travel in South Africa. ACSA, June 2008
• An analysis of the price elasticity of the demand for electricity in South Africa. NERSA, May 2008
• The demand for petrol and diesel in South Africa (2008 – 2020): An econometric model analysis. NERSA, September 2008
• An econometric analysis and forecast of the demand for food, clothing and footwear and domestic textiles in South Africa. Woolworths Limited, August 2008
• A five-year economic outlook under different scenarios. Virgin Money, January 2008
• Updated proposal for increases in tariffs for High Courts and Magistrates Courts. Law Society of South Africa, May 2008
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2008 – 2037). Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, July/August 2008
• A brief analysis of DTI Questions in the BER Manufacturing Survey: The impact of the electricity price increase on manufacturing activity. Department of Trade and Industry, December 2008

2007

• An econometric forecasting model for beer sales in Poland. Kompania Piwiowarska SA, October 2007
• Economic background: Annual salary increase 2007/8. Juta and Company Ltd, May 2007
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates (2007 - 2036). Revisited. Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, June/July 2007
• Forecast of the demand for petrol, diesel and illuminating paraffin in South Africa. Chevron South Africa (Pty) Ltd, March 2007
• Macroeconomic impact scenarios – meeting South Africa’s liquid fuel demand, 2007 – 2020. SASOL, May 2007
• Long-term forecast of key exchange rates & inflation: 2007 to 2027. PetroSA, March 2007
• An assessment of the macroeconomic projections underlying the Transnet freight flow model – 2007 to 2026. Centre for Supply Chain Management (CFSM), Department of Logistics, University of Stellenbosch, 4 June 2007
• The current state and short-term prospects for the South African & Western Cape economies. An economic brief prepared for the Western Cape Provincial Government, Department of Economic Development & Tourism, June 2007
• Economic Outlook. Chapter 2 of the Provincial Economic Review & Outlook 2007 report prepared for the Western Cape Provincial Government, June 2007
• Assessing the macroeconomic impact of Eskom’s R150 billion capital expenditure programme, 2007 – 2012. ESKOM, 1st draft, November 2007
• A brief analysis of DTI questions in the BER Manufacturing Survey: Labour issues. Department of Trade and Industry, December 2007