Ad-hoc research

The BER conducts ad-hoc research on request from both clients and non-clients. The BER also relies on its capacity to contract research out in the event of this being necessary. Should you wish to enquire about the BER's ad hoc research, please contact the BER’s Macro Service Manager Cobus Venter. Some previous BER ad-hoc research reports are listed below:

2021

• Assisting clients in using large semi-structural models for forecasting the South African economy.
• Estimating the cost of load-shedding for a provincial government.
• SA’s macroeconomic forecast and outlook for the wine industry.
• Price and income elasticity analysis of different segments of the alcoholic beverage industry in South Africa.
• BER Scenario Report: Confidential report prepared for a large banking group.
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates for a large multi-decade infrastructure project.
• Development of a Grains Storage Cost Index (GSCI) for South Africa
• Vehicle sales forecast. Forecast of domestic vehicle sales (2021 – 2026).
• Quarterly fuel sales forecast for South Africa.
• BER/SAWIS/BFAP South African Wine Quarterly. Supply, prices and profitability in the South African wine industry.
• BER Econometric Estimates of a South African bank’s Expected Default Rate Using Probability-weighted Macroeconomic Scenarios.
• Econometric Estimates of PPI: Coal and Gas inflation (2021-2024).
• Econometric Sales Forecast Update. Brief confidential report for a national retailer.
• SMME quarterly update statistics for a national department.
• SME Business Conditions Survey report in the civil construction industry.
• Evaluating the impact of the Support Stellenbosch campaign.

2020

• Econometric projections of default ratio’s using alternative macroeconomic scenarios for a South African bank.
• Assisting clients in using large semi-structural models for forecasting the South African economy.
• BER/SAWIS South African Wine Quarterly.
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates for a large multi-decade infrastructure project.
• Econometric forecasts of new vehicle sales.
• Econometric forecasts of national cement demand.
• Econometric forecast of housing starts.
• Client specific econometric sales forecasts based on the BER’s macroeconomic forecast for various clients.
• Short quarterly reports on the econometric forecast for specific PPI categories.
• High-level economic impact assessment of a national infrastructure Hub.
• High-level economic impact assessment of a large agricultural Irrigation Project.
• High-level economic impact assessment of a large rural broadband project.
• High-level economic impact assessment of a significant water augmentation project.
• High-level economic impact assessment of a mixed-use development.
• Economic impact of infrastructure investment: An initial high-level economic impact analysis (EIA) of the SIDS project database.
• Update of the Higher Education Price Index (HEPI): 2017 – 2019.
• Vehicle sales forecast. Forecast of domestic vehicle sales (2020 – 2025).
• Quarterly fuel sales forecast for South Africa.
• Economic overview of the global, sub-Saharan Africa & South African economy.
• Macro-economic considerations in issuing the Invitation to Apply for high demand spectrum.

2019

• Macroeconomic Determinants of default ratio's/credit losses and alternative macroeconomic scenarios for a South African bank.
• Assisting clients in using large semi-structural models for forecasting the South African economy
• BER/SAWIS South African Wine Quarterly.
• The re-estimation of a client's macroeconometric model.
• Econometric estimates of South African national cement demand.
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates for a large multi-decade infrastructure project.
• The estimation and forecast of the demand for fuel in South Africa.
• Preparing and estimating an annual residential mortgage value forecast.
• The econometric forecasting of expected vehicle sales.
• Vehicle and fuel sales forecast including an overview of alternative funding mechanisms for costs associated with motor vehicle accidents in South Africa.
• Various research outputs for provincial and national government departments.
• A higher education price index for South African universities.
• Short monthly economic reports on some economic variables affecting the telecoms sector.
• Modelling the impact of the alternative macroeconomic scenarios that the BER compiles on clients' core business projections.

2017

• BER/SAWIS South African Wine Quarterly.
• Econometric estimates of South African national cement demand
• Long-term forecast of inflation and interest rates for a large multi-decade infrastructure project.
• Detailed Economic Impact Assessment (EIA) of a large Telecommunication company on the South African economy.
• Econometric Estimates of the Expected (internal) Default Rate Using Probability-weighted Macroeconomic Scenarios (2016-2021). Project commissioned by a client in the financial services sector.
• Estimating the relationship between various economic indicators and demand for new gym memberships as well as terminations.
• Short monthly economic reports on some economic variables affecting the telecoms sector.
• Economic impact assessment of Stellenbosch University on the local municipal area.
• The estimation and forecast of the demand for fuel in South Africa.
• The econometric forecasting of expected vehicle sales.
• Various research outputs for provincial governments
• Modelling the impact of the alternative macroeconomic scenarios that the BER compiles on clients’ core business projections.
• Estimation of econometric demand models for domestic sales of still wine categories, sparkling wine, fortified wine and brandy as well as export sales of still wine.