RMB/BER Business Confidence Index
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (History Data), 2018
Last updated: Nov 27 2018 10:56AM
After falling from 40 to 34 in the third quarter, the RMB/BER BCI deteriorated marginally further to 31 in the last quarter of 2018. (In addition to the survey results for the fourth quarter, this release also incorporates the outcome of a revision of the
read moreAfter falling from 40 to 34 in the third quarter, the RMB/BER BCI deteriorated marginally further to 31 in the last quarter of 2018. (In addition to the survey results for the fourth quarter, this release also incorporates the outcome of a revision of the surveys. Previously, the BCI had a reading of 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter of 2018.) Even though improvements have been modest, it’s nonetheless encouraging to see confidence having risen in three out of the five sectors surveyed. In fact, if it wasn’t for the unusually large drop in new vehicle dealer confidence, the RMB/BER BCI would have risen for the first time in almost a year. Yet, concerns continue to linger; in aggregate, seven out of every 10 respondents remain unhappy with prevailing business conditions, while confidence continues to track below the neutral-50 mark in all the sectors.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 4 - Excel
Last updated: Nov 27 2018 10:55AM
After falling from 40 to 34 in the third quarter, the RMB/BER BCI deteriorated marginally further to 31 in the last quarter of 2018. (In addition to the survey results for the fourth quarter, this release also incorporates the outcome of a revision of the
read moreAfter falling from 40 to 34 in the third quarter, the RMB/BER BCI deteriorated marginally further to 31 in the last quarter of 2018. (In addition to the survey results for the fourth quarter, this release also incorporates the outcome of a revision of the surveys. Previously, the BCI had a reading of 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter of 2018.) Even though improvements have been modest, it’s nonetheless encouraging to see confidence having risen in three out of the five sectors surveyed. In fact, if it wasn’t for the unusually large drop in new vehicle dealer confidence, the RMB/BER BCI would have risen for the first time in almost a year. Yet, concerns continue to linger; in aggregate, seven out of every 10 respondents remain unhappy with prevailing business conditions, while confidence continues to track below the neutral-50 mark in all the sectors.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 4 - PDF
Last updated: Nov 27 2018 10:55AM
After falling from 40 to 34 in the third quarter, the RMB/BER BCI deteriorated marginally further to 31 in the last quarter of 2018. (In addition to the survey results for the fourth quarter, this release also incorporates the outcome of a revision of the
read moreAfter falling from 40 to 34 in the third quarter, the RMB/BER BCI deteriorated marginally further to 31 in the last quarter of 2018. (In addition to the survey results for the fourth quarter, this release also incorporates the outcome of a revision of the surveys. Previously, the BCI had a reading of 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter of 2018.) Even though improvements have been modest, it’s nonetheless encouraging to see confidence having risen in three out of the five sectors surveyed. In fact, if it wasn’t for the unusually large drop in new vehicle dealer confidence, the RMB/BER BCI would have risen for the first time in almost a year. Yet, concerns continue to linger; in aggregate, seven out of every 10 respondents remain unhappy with prevailing business conditions, while confidence continues to track below the neutral-50 mark in all the sectors.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 3 - Excel
Last updated: Sep 11 2018 11:04AM
Following a new president inspired jump in the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) to 45 in the first quarter, sentiment fell back to 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter. Although confidence rose marginally in two of the five sectors
read moreFollowing a new president inspired jump in the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) to 45 in the first quarter, sentiment fell back to 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter. Although confidence rose marginally in two of the five sectors covered in the survey, not a single sector in the third quarter had a number above the neutral level of 50 – an infrequent and worrying development.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 3 - PDF
Last updated: Sep 11 2018 11:05AM
Following a new president inspired jump in the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) to 45 in the first quarter, sentiment fell back to 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter. Although confidence rose marginally in two of the five sectors
read moreFollowing a new president inspired jump in the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) to 45 in the first quarter, sentiment fell back to 39 in the second quarter and 38 in the third quarter. Although confidence rose marginally in two of the five sectors covered in the survey, not a single sector in the third quarter had a number above the neutral level of 50 – an infrequent and worrying development.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 2 - PDF
Last updated: Jun 13 2018 10:09AM
After surging from 34 to 45 in the first quarter, the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) deteriorated to 39 in the second quarter of 2018. This means that close to three fifths of respondents now regard prevailing business conditions as unsatisfactory –
read moreAfter surging from 34 to 45 in the first quarter, the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) deteriorated to 39 in the second quarter of 2018. This means that close to three fifths of respondents now regard prevailing business conditions as unsatisfactory – a disappointing outcome, yet probably an accurate reflection of reality.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 2 - Excel
Last updated: Jun 13 2018 10:10AM
After surging from 34 to 45 in the first quarter, the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) deteriorated to 39 in the second quarter of 2018. This means that close to three fifths of respondents now regard prevailing business conditions as unsatisfactory –
read moreAfter surging from 34 to 45 in the first quarter, the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) deteriorated to 39 in the second quarter of 2018. This means that close to three fifths of respondents now regard prevailing business conditions as unsatisfactory – a disappointing outcome, yet probably an accurate reflection of reality.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 1 - PDF
Last updated: Mar 14 2018 11:54AM
The RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) jumped by 11 points from 34 in the fourth quarter of 2017 to 45 in the first quarter of 2018. An increase of such magnitude is rare: since 1975, the BCI rose by 11 points or more on only 15 occasions. If sustained,
read moreThe RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) jumped by 11 points from 34 in the fourth quarter of 2017 to 45 in the first quarter of 2018. An increase of such magnitude is rare: since 1975, the BCI rose by 11 points or more on only 15 occasions. If sustained, the first quarter rise implies a much-improved economic growth performance this year and next, relative to 2017’s 1.3% GDP expansion.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2018 - Quarter 1 - Excel
Last updated: Mar 14 2018 11:55AM
The RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) jumped by 11 points from 34 in the fourth quarter of 2017 to 45 in the first quarter of 2018. An increase of such magnitude is rare: since 1975, the BCI rose by 11 points or more on only 15 occasions. If sustained,
read moreThe RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) jumped by 11 points from 34 in the fourth quarter of 2017 to 45 in the first quarter of 2018. An increase of such magnitude is rare: since 1975, the BCI rose by 11 points or more on only 15 occasions. If sustained, the first quarter rise implies a much-improved economic growth performance this year and next, relative to 2017’s 1.3% GDP expansion.
RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (Sectoral and Provincial), 2017 - Quarter 4 - Excel
Last updated: Nov 28 2017 11:45AM
The RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) essentially flatlined at 34 in the fourth quarter. While this is an improvement on the seven and a half-year low of 29 in the second quarter, sentiment clearly remained depressed.
read moreThe RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI) essentially flatlined at 34 in the fourth quarter. While this is an improvement on the seven and a half-year low of 29 in the second quarter, sentiment clearly remained depressed.