Economic Prospects
Economic Prospects (Executive Summary), 2019Q3
Last updated: Jul 12 2019 1:09PM
A particular feature of the latest forecast update is a further significant worsening in the country’s fiscal ratios. A main budget deficit of around 6% of GDP is expected for 2019/20. Risks are on the downside.
read moreA particular feature of the latest forecast update is a further significant worsening in the country’s fiscal ratios. A main budget deficit of around 6% of GDP is expected for 2019/20. Risks are on the downside.
Last updated: Apr 18 2019 2:51PM
Following the pedestrian real GDP growth performance of 2018, 2019 is shaping up to be another challenging year for the SA economy. Incoming data for 2019Q1 suggests that a sizeable contraction might be on the cards. Beyond the first quarter, the short-run
read moreFollowing the pedestrian real GDP growth performance of 2018, 2019 is shaping up to be another challenging year for the SA economy. Incoming data for 2019Q1 suggests that a sizeable contraction might be on the cards. Beyond the first quarter, the short-run outlook for the domestic economy is further clouded by signs of slowing global growth momentum, low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued domestic demand environment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy.
Economic Prospects (Executive Summary), 2019Q2
Last updated: Apr 18 2019 2:52PM
Following the pedestrian real GDP growth performance of 2018, 2019 is shaping up to be another challenging year for the SA economy. Incoming data for 2019Q1 suggests that a sizeable contraction might be on the cards. Beyond the first quarter, the short-run
read moreFollowing the pedestrian real GDP growth performance of 2018, 2019 is shaping up to be another challenging year for the SA economy. Incoming data for 2019Q1 suggests that a sizeable contraction might be on the cards. Beyond the first quarter, the short-run outlook for the domestic economy is further clouded by signs of slowing global growth momentum, low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued domestic demand environment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2019Q2
Last updated: Apr 18 2019 2:54PM
A short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. Following the pedestrian real GDP growth performance of 2018, 2019 is shaping up to be another challenging year for the SA economy. Incoming data for 2019Q1 suggests that a sizeable contraction might
read moreA short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. Following the pedestrian real GDP growth performance of 2018, 2019 is shaping up to be another challenging year for the SA economy. Incoming data for 2019Q1 suggests that a sizeable contraction might be on the cards. Beyond the first quarter, the short-run outlook for the domestic economy is further clouded by signs of slowing global growth momentum, low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued domestic demand environment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy.
Economic Prospects, 2019 - Quarter 1 (Download sample)
Last updated: Feb 5 2019 2:19PM
Real GDP growth for 2019 has been revised down to 1.3% from 1.5% before. Growth is still expected to accelerate towards 2% during 2020.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2019 - Quarter 1
Last updated: Feb 5 2019 2:20PM
Real GDP growth for 2019 has been revised down to 1.3% from 1.5% before. Growth is still expected to accelerate towards 2% during 2020.
Economic Prospects, (Executive Summary) 2019 - Quarter 1
Last updated: Jan 23 2019 9:59AM
Real GDP growth for 2019 has been revised down to 1.3% from 1.5% before. Growth is still expected to accelerate towards 2% during 2020.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2018 - Quarter 4
Last updated: Oct 12 2018 9:46AM
A short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy
read moreA short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued consumer demand environment, weak private sector fixed investment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy. Add to that creeping concerns regarding global growth, and we are far less optimistic about the short-term outlook than in early-2018.
Economic Prospects, (Executive Summary) 2018 - Quarter 4
Last updated: Oct 12 2018 9:47AM
The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a
read moreThe domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued consumer demand environment, weak private sector fixed investment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy. Add to that creeping concerns regarding global growth, and we are far less optimistic about the short-term outlook than in early-2018.
Economic Prospects, 2018 - Quarter 4 (Download sample)
Last updated: Oct 12 2018 9:48AM
The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a
read moreThe domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued consumer demand environment, weak private sector fixed investment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy. Add to that creeping concerns regarding global growth, and we are far less optimistic about the short-term outlook than in early-2018.