Economic Prospects
Last updated: Feb 10 2021 2:57PM
The latest forecast update sees more of the GDP recovery from the 2020 crash delayed into 2022.
Prospects (Executive summary), 2021Q1
Last updated: Jan 28 2021 9:34AM
The latest forecast update sees more of the GDP recovery from the 2020 crash delayed into 2022.
Last updated: Nov 27 2020 11:19AM
The expected decline in real GDP for 2020 was revised to -8.3%, from -8.7% before. This will be re-looked at after the release of the Q3 GDP figures on 8 December.
Prospects (Executive summary), 2020Q4
Last updated: Oct 19 2020 10:07AM
Despite upgrades to the real GDP outlook, a difficult and protracted economic recovery remains the baseline scenario.
Last updated: Aug 19 2020 1:34PM
SA economic activity has started a tentative sequential recovery from the dramatic lockdown-induced collapse in April. However, the return to pre-COVID GDP levels is likely to lag the experience of SA’s major trading partners.
read moreSA economic activity has started a tentative sequential recovery from the dramatic lockdown-induced collapse in April. However, the return to pre-COVID GDP levels is likely to lag the experience of SA’s major trading partners.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2020Q3
Last updated: Aug 19 2020 2:21PM
SA economic activity has started a tentative sequential recovery from the dramatic lockdown-induced collapse in April. However, the return to pre-COVID GDP levels is likely to lag the experience of SA’s major trading partners.
read moreSA economic activity has started a tentative sequential recovery from the dramatic lockdown-induced collapse in April. However, the return to pre-COVID GDP levels is likely to lag the experience of SA’s major trading partners.
Economic Prospects (Executive Summary), 2020Q3
Last updated: Aug 1 2020 7:18AM
With a somewhat less severe Q2 decline than envisaged before, but a weak recovery pencilled in for the rest of the year, SA real GDP is forecast to contract by 8.7% during 2020.
Economic Prospects (Executive Summary), 2020Q2
Last updated: May 13 2020 5:26PM
A severe global recession, domestic non-pharmaceutical interventions and existing SA vulnerabilities make for an unpleasant combination when considering the outlook for the SA economy.
Last updated: May 13 2020 5:25PM
A severe global recession, domestic non-pharmaceutical interventions and existing SA vulnerabilities make for an unpleasant combination when considering the outlook for the SA economy.
Last updated: Feb 10 2020 3:32PM
Besides the normal macro forecasts, this edition contains a write-up of BER scenario modelling work on the potential GDP impact of increased Eskom load shedding.