Economic Prospects
Date Uploaded: May 8 2023 3:30PM
Over the past six months, the sustained stark deterioration in the outlook for Eskom load-shedding has driven a consistent downgrade to our SA real GDP growth forecast for 2023. We have now lowered this slightly further to only 0.2%.
read moreOver the past six months, the sustained stark deterioration in the outlook for Eskom load-shedding has driven a consistent downgrade to our SA real GDP growth forecast for 2023. We have now lowered this slightly further to only 0.2%.
Prospects (executive summary), 2023Q2
Date Uploaded: Apr 20 2023 1:00PM
Over the past six months, the sustained stark deterioration in the outlook for Eskom load-shedding has driven a consistent downgrade to our SA real GDP growth forecast for 2023. We have now lowered this slightly further to only 0.2%.
read moreOver the past six months, the sustained stark deterioration in the outlook for Eskom load-shedding has driven a consistent downgrade to our SA real GDP growth forecast for 2023. We have now lowered this slightly further to only 0.2%.
Date Uploaded: Feb 21 2023 2:00PM
Real GDP growth of well below 1% is now pencilled in for SA during 2023, with a limited recovery expected during 2024.
Prospects (executive summary), 2023Q1
Date Uploaded: Jan 31 2023 11:15AM
Real GDP growth of well below 1% is now pencilled in for SA during 2023, with a limited recovery expected during 2024.
Date Uploaded: Nov 7 2022 3:00PM
Despite multiple headwinds, SA real GDP growth of just below 2% remains possible in 2022. For 2023, the growth forecast was revised down significantly to just above 1%. This mainly reflects a further downgrade to global growth prospects and the associated
read moreDespite multiple headwinds, SA real GDP growth of just below 2% remains possible in 2022. For 2023, the growth forecast was revised down significantly to just above 1%. This mainly reflects a further downgrade to global growth prospects and the associated read more
Prospects (executive summary), 2022Q4
Date Uploaded: Oct 17 2022 10:45AM
Despite multiple headwinds, SA real GDP growth of just below 2% remains possible in 2022. For 2023, the growth forecast was revised down significantly to just above 1%. This mainly reflects a further downgrade to global growth prospects and the associated
read moreDespite multiple headwinds, SA real GDP growth of just below 2% remains possible in 2022. For 2023, the growth forecast was revised down significantly to just above 1%. This mainly reflects a further downgrade to global growth prospects and the associated (projected) slump in domestic export volumes.
Date Uploaded: Jul 29 2022 4:00PM
Given several crosscurrents, we have kept the outlook for real GDP growth in 2022 largely unchanged at 2.3%. The more notable forecast changes include materially higher headline consumer inflation, a frontloaded pace of SARB interest rate hikes, and a weaker
read moreGiven several crosscurrents, we have kept the outlook for real GDP growth in 2022 largely unchanged at 2.3%. The more notable forecast changes include materially higher headline consumer inflation, a frontloaded pace of SARB interest rate hikes, and a weaker rand exchange rate (versus the US dollar).
Prospects (executive summary), 2022Q3
Date Uploaded: Jul 15 2022 2:45PM
Given several crosscurrents, we have kept the outlook for real GDP growth in 2022 largely unchanged at 2.3%. The more notable forecast changes include materially higher headline consumer inflation, a frontloaded pace of SARB interest rate hikes, and a weaker
read moreGiven several crosscurrents, we have kept the outlook for real GDP growth in 2022 largely unchanged at 2.3%. The more notable forecast changes include materially higher headline consumer inflation, a frontloaded pace of SARB interest rate hikes, and a weaker rand exchange rate.
Date Uploaded: May 13 2022 10:15AM
Despite several adverse recent events, the latest forecast raised the real GDP growth projection for 2022 to above 2%. The consumer inflation forecast has again been lifted, while a healthier near-term current account surplus is projected.
read moreDespite several adverse recent events, the latest forecast raised the real GDP growth projection for 2022 to above 2%. The consumer inflation forecast has again been lifted, while a healthier near-term current account surplus is projected.
Prospects (executive summary), 2022Q2
Date Uploaded: Apr 25 2022 12:30PM
Despite several adverse recent events, the latest forecast raised the real GDP growth projection for 2022 to above 2%. The consumer inflation forecast has again been lifted, while a healthier near-term current account surplus is projected.
read moreDespite several adverse recent events, the latest forecast raised the real GDP growth projection for 2022 to above 2%. The consumer inflation forecast has again been lifted, while a healthier near-term current account surplus is projected.