Economic Prospects
Economic Prospects, (Executive Summary) 2019 - Quarter 1
Last updated: Jan 23 2019 9:59AM
Real GDP growth for 2019 has been revised down to 1.3% from 1.5% before. Growth is still expected to accelerate towards 2% during 2020.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2018 - Quarter 4
Last updated: Oct 12 2018 9:46AM
A short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy
read moreA short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued consumer demand environment, weak private sector fixed investment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy. Add to that creeping concerns regarding global growth, and we are far less optimistic about the short-term outlook than in early-2018.
Economic Prospects, (Executive Summary) 2018 - Quarter 4
Last updated: Oct 12 2018 9:47AM
The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a
read moreThe domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued consumer demand environment, weak private sector fixed investment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy. Add to that creeping concerns regarding global growth, and we are far less optimistic about the short-term outlook than in early-2018.
Economic Prospects, 2018 - Quarter 4 (Download sample)
Last updated: Oct 12 2018 9:48AM
The domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a
read moreThe domestic economy entered a technical recession in 2018Q2. The excitement that gripped the country in 2018Q1 is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. The short-run outlook for the domestic economy is clouded by low levels of private sector confidence, a subdued consumer demand environment, weak private sector fixed investment, and constrained fiscal and monetary policy. Add to that creeping concerns regarding global growth, and we are far less optimistic about the short-term outlook than in early-2018.
Economic Prospects, 2018 - Quarter 3 (Download sample)
Last updated: Jul 6 2018 7:29AM
The GDP contraction in 2018Q1 and likely modest recovery in Q2 has forced a sizeable downward adjustment to our 2018 real GDP growth forecast.
Economic Prospects, (Executive Summary) 2018 - Quarter 3
Last updated: Jul 6 2018 7:30AM
The GDP contraction in 2018Q1 and likely modest recovery in Q2 has forced a sizeable downward adjustment to our 2018 real GDP growth forecast.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2018 - Quarter 3
Last updated: Jul 6 2018 7:30AM
The GDP contraction in 2018Q1 and likely modest recovery in Q2 has forced a sizeable downward adjustment to our 2018 real GDP growth forecast.
Economic Prospects, 2018 - Quarter 2 (Download sample)
Last updated: Apr 13 2018 10:21AM
Global growth moved from strength to strength in 2017, with activity picking up in most country groupings. However, amidst political infighting and policy uncertainty SA was in no position to take advantage of the upturn in global growth. Developments since
read moreGlobal growth moved from strength to strength in 2017, with activity picking up in most country groupings. However, amidst political infighting and policy uncertainty SA was in no position to take advantage of the upturn in global growth. Developments since the ANC elective conference in December 2017 have led to increased optimism that overall economic activity might surprise on the upside going forward.
Economic Prospects, (Executive Summary) 2018 - Quarter 2
Last updated: Apr 13 2018 10:22AM
Global growth moved from strength to strength in 2017, with activity picking up in most country groupings. However, amidst political infighting and policy uncertainty SA was in no position to take advantage of the upturn in global growth. Developments since
read moreGlobal growth moved from strength to strength in 2017, with activity picking up in most country groupings. However, amidst political infighting and policy uncertainty SA was in no position to take advantage of the upturn in global growth. Developments since the ANC elective conference in December 2017 have led to increased optimism that overall economic activity might surprise on the upside going forward.
Economic Prospects (Short Summary), 2018 - Quarter 2
Last updated: Apr 13 2018 10:22AM
A short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. Global growth moved from strength to strength in 2017, with activity picking up in most country groupings. However, amidst political infighting and policy uncertainty SA was in no position to take
read moreA short summary of the BER’s latest macroeconomic forecast. Global growth moved from strength to strength in 2017, with activity picking up in most country groupings. However, amidst political infighting and policy uncertainty SA was in no position to take advantage of the upturn in global growth. Developments since the ANC elective conference in December 2017 have led to increased optimism that overall economic activity might surprise on the upside going forward.