Economic information that works for you ForecastsBMR ConsensusEconomic ProspectsEconomic OutlookMost recent forecastsUpdate (Archive) 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 Outlook, October 2023 Date Uploaded: Oct 25 2023 3:00PM Relief on the inflation and interest rate fronts should start to kick in from the second half of next year. Along with an assumption of reduced load-shedding, a continuation of the green-energy investment boom, and with the caveat that the 2024 election does read moreRelief on the inflation and interest rate fronts should start to kick in from the second half of next year. Along with an assumption of reduced load-shedding, a continuation of the green-energy investment boom, and with the caveat that the 2024 election does not lead to unstable multiparty coalitions in some key provinces, this should lay the groundwork for a push towards 2% real GDP growth from 2025 onwards. Outlook, May 2023 Date Uploaded: May 8 2023 2:00PM We continue to peg medium-term (2025-28) SA real GDP growth at around 2% on average. Crucially, this view relies on the realisation of a green-energy fixed investment boom and, over time, the associated easing of the debilitating power constraint. read moreWe continue to peg medium-term (2025-28) SA real GDP growth at around 2% on average. Crucially, this view relies on the realisation of a green-energy fixed investment boom and, over time, the associated easing of the debilitating power constraint.
(Archive) 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 Outlook, October 2023 Date Uploaded: Oct 25 2023 3:00PM Relief on the inflation and interest rate fronts should start to kick in from the second half of next year. Along with an assumption of reduced load-shedding, a continuation of the green-energy investment boom, and with the caveat that the 2024 election does read moreRelief on the inflation and interest rate fronts should start to kick in from the second half of next year. Along with an assumption of reduced load-shedding, a continuation of the green-energy investment boom, and with the caveat that the 2024 election does not lead to unstable multiparty coalitions in some key provinces, this should lay the groundwork for a push towards 2% real GDP growth from 2025 onwards. Outlook, May 2023 Date Uploaded: May 8 2023 2:00PM We continue to peg medium-term (2025-28) SA real GDP growth at around 2% on average. Crucially, this view relies on the realisation of a green-energy fixed investment boom and, over time, the associated easing of the debilitating power constraint. read moreWe continue to peg medium-term (2025-28) SA real GDP growth at around 2% on average. Crucially, this view relies on the realisation of a green-energy fixed investment boom and, over time, the associated easing of the debilitating power constraint.